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The German political center is crumbling from both sides. Yesterday's state elections in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania and Berlin were a catastrophe for Chancellor Friedrich Merz and the CDU. In the northeastern German state of Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, the populist right-wing Alternative for Germany (AfD) scored a resounding victory over the governing coalition of Social Democrats (SPD) and Christian Democrats (CDU), led by Chancellor Friedrich Merz. In the capital, Berlin, on the other hand, the hard-left Die Linke, led by Turkish-born politician Elif Eralp, won a clear majority of votes.
The vote in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania saw the Alternative for Germany (AfD) securing 37-38% of votes. This left them narrowly ahead of the Social Democrats (SPD), who secured 35.5-36.5% of votes. Meanwhile, Chancellor Merz's Christian Democrats (CDU) polled a disastrous 5% or 5.5% — low enough for them to risk being below the threshold for entry to the state parliament. This result follows on from the party's record 43.8% score in neighboring Saxony-Anhalt two weeks previously, when it fell just short of an absolute majority.
In Berlin, however, the situation was reversed: the Left reached 24.5-26% of the vote, outstripping the CDU (20%), with the AfD coming in third on 13.5-16% of the vote. The SPD came in a poor fourth with around 12% of the vote. The campaign of the Left under its Turkish party chair Elif Eralp focused on the inadequate housing supply in the capital and the inflated cost of living. Once again, voters rejected the failed policies of the German establishment. While the AfD are dominating the East, the Left are achieving successes in the West — Merz's failure is evident to all.
The results cannot be written off as regional peculiarities. The elections in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania and Berlin, combined with the Saxony-Anhalt result from September, are the last state elections before Germany's election cycle starts all over again. For the federal government led by Chancellor Friedrich Merz and his CDU, the results are disastrous. His party is too weak to rule in the East, while in the rest of the country it is too central to be able to form a government with the parties that are winning. The SPD, Merz's coalition partner, fares no better in the East than it does in the West.
Germany's Chancellor Friedrich Merz has so far refused to step down from office, even after the disastrous election results in Saxony-Anhalt and now in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania. The CDU/CSU leader still insists that so-called economic reform will be the way to prevent 'authoritarianism' in Germany. But his partners in government and even many within his own party's ranks have grown weary of the CDU/CSU's empty promises of reform and have long since stopped waiting for results.
The hard-left is for the time being excluded from government by a unanimous firewall agreement between all other parties. But the resentments of the voters and the decline of the German establishment are shaping the government arithmetic in the other states as well — a danger signal for the globalist structures that have long held sway in Berlin.
